
Last year, Matt watched a ton of baseball games on TV, so his
picks for the playoffs were right on: he got two series right.
The year before that, Matt went to a bunch of baseball games and saw almost all the playoff teams in person. And his
picks were even worse.
So, this year - when Matt watched less baseball than he has in ages -his picks are sure to be a little more right. It only follows.
Here be Matt's Playoff Picks Sure To Go Wrong.
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
Matt's prediction: Yankees in four
Predictable storylines: Big market vs. small market; Twins can't win in postseason; Yankees playing with heavy hearts after Steinbrenner and Sheppard die; Will games be snowed out?
Comment: With all his heart, Matt will be rooting for the Twins. And they actually have a decent match-up. The Yankees are a very good (, very evil) team. But, as
everyone is saying, their pitching is suspect past C.C.
Sabathia. So, the key for the Twins might be game one. Beat
Sabathia there and they may just have a shot at this thing. But, realistically, Hughes and
Pettitte are still pretty good pitchers and the Twins aren't exactly throwing Santana and
Blyleven out there. (That's the best Twins pitchers I could think of.) The Twins just need too many people to have career series to beat the All That Is Evils. Without
Morneau...head trumps heart.
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Matt's prediction: Rays is four
Predictable storylines: No one comes to Rays games so they might move; Cliff Lee likes to throw complete games; Rangers re-birth; Should Nolan Ryan pitch game two?; If Rangers win, will Josh Hamilton have to babysit Ron Washington?
Comment: On paper, this is a really intriguing series. It's tempting to say that Cliff Lee will be the tipping point for this series. Theoretically, this guy can just throw five complete games, if necessary. Josh Hamilton is back and the Rangers are an extremely potent lineup. But, David Price is awesome and so is Even
Longoria, even on 12 days rest. Let's go with Joe
Maddon and experience.
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati RedsMatt's prediction: Phillies in three
Predictable storylines: Roy Halladay is finally in the postseason; Upstart Reds vs. veteran Phillies; Aroldis Chapman may kill a player with a thrown ball; Who will run into Darren Baker?
Comment: OK,
nobody's picking the Reds. How could you? If you had a confidence pool the Phillies would have to be your top pick to advance. The Reds don't really have an ace and the Phillies might have three. The Reds have a bunch of young overachievers who are thrilled to be in the playoffs and the Phillies expect to go to the World Series. The Reds have Dusty Baker, the Phils have Roy Halladay. Sorry, Reds.
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesMatt's prediction: Braves in five
Predictable storylines: Two favorites for Rookie of the Year go head to head (Heyward and Posey); Lincecum is a freak; Chipper Jones wishes he could play in this series; Will Bobby Cox will be ejected from his last game?
Comment: Nobody's picking the Braves, either. Again, with good reason. The Braves basically snuck into the playoffs, barely losing less games than the Padres did down the stretch. Chipper Jones is out and Jason Heyward is struggling. The Giants have three or four aces. But...the Giants haven't been to the playoffs lately. And if Tim Lincecum gets blown up (which has happened this season) when the lights go on, things might get interesting. Here's betting Bobby Cox has one last trick up his sleeve.
Things to root for:- If the Giants and Phillies do get through, that will be a heck of a pitching match up in the NLDS.
- Mike Sweeney, Roy Halladay and Michael Young are all making the first playoff appearances. Always nice to see veterans get a taste. Someone like that always seems to make a key play or have a huge series.
- Twins and Giants in the Series. Interesting.
- Always root for Jim Thome/Buzz Lightyear.
Things to root against:
- If the announcers start saying the Yankees are winning despite heavy hearts (because of Steinbrenner dying), that series has full barf potential.
- Yankees and Phillies in the Series. Blah.